Correlation Analysis
Costco Wholesale Corp vs United Airlines Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
COST vs UAL
+0.771
Strong positive
When one moves up, the other tends to follow.
Costco Wholesale Corp
↗COST
Founded in 1983, Costco Wholesale now operates a global chain of membership-based warehouse clubs, delivering high-quality goods and services at consistently low prices. As of its most recent fiscal year, Costco operated approximately 910 warehouses, serving more than 80 million members across its three geographic segments: Costco US (approximately 73% of total revenue), Costco Canada (13%), and Costco International (14%).Costco's core value proposition—quality products at unbeatable prices—has yielded consistently strong member renewal rates (93% in the US and Canada and nearly 90% internationally). About 55% of Costco's fiscal 2025 revenue came from its grocery offerings, and another 25% from general merchandise.
Market cap 451.9B
United Airlines Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
↗UAL
Chicago-based United Airlines is a major US network carrier with hubs in San Francisco, Chicago, Houston, Denver, Los Angeles, Newark, and Washington, D.C. United operates a hub-and-spoke system that is more focused on international and long-haul travel, especially across the Pacific, than its large US peers.
Market cap 29.4B · 113,200 employees
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
COST leads UAL by 6 days
COST tends to move before UAL.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.773 (they moved in the same direction).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+0.170
13 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+0.919
5 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.488
17 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
59.5%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
56.3%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [0.748, 0.793]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Costco Wholesale Corp
COST
Market cap 451.9B
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
United Airlines Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
UAL
Market cap 29.4B · 113,200 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
5
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0849
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
1.7806
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
COST
Costco Wholesale Corp
Highest
+0.977
Republic Services Inc.
RSG · 1,254 data points
Lowest
-0.912
Fiserv, Inc. Common Stock
FISV · 644 data points
UAL
United Airlines Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
Highest
+0.914
Walmart Inc. Common Stock
WMT · 1,254 data points
Lowest
+0.440
Johnson & Johnson
JNJ · 1,254 data points
Saved 7 hours ago · ID: stock-cost-vs-stock-ual-daily