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Correlation Analysis

Costco Wholesale Corp vs Oracle Corp

COST vs ORCL

+0.821

Strong positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

COST logo

Costco Wholesale Corp

COST

Founded in 1983, Costco Wholesale now operates a global chain of membership-based warehouse clubs, delivering high-quality goods and services at consistently low prices. As of its most recent fiscal year, Costco operated approximately 910 warehouses, serving more than 80 million members across its three geographic segments: Costco US (approximately 73% of total revenue), Costco Canada (13%), and Costco International (14%).Costco's core value proposition—quality products at unbeatable prices—has yielded consistently strong member renewal rates (93% in the US and Canada and nearly 90% internationally). About 55% of Costco's fiscal 2025 revenue came from its grocery offerings, and another 25% from general merchandise.

Market cap 451.9B

ORCL logo

Oracle Corp

ORCL

Oracle provides enterprise applications and infrastructure offerings through a variety of flexible IT deployment models, including on-premises, cloud-based, and hybrid. Founded in 1977, Oracle pioneered the first commercial SQL-based relational database management system, which is commonly used by the world's largest companies for high-volume online transaction processing workloads. Besides databases, Oracle also sells enterprise resource planning platforms and cloud infrastructure that play an increasingly important role in large language model training and inferencing.

Market cap 418.6B

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockConsumerTechnology

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: COSTGray: ORCL36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

COST leads ORCL by 6 days

COST tends to move before ORCL.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.823 (they moved in the same direction).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

-0.205

17 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

-0.049

6 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.707

12 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

67.4%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

60.4%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.802, 0.838]

Scatter

XY Regression

3064006008001,0001,13451.1100150200250300348.9Costco Wholesale CorpOracle CorpData pointsFit (r = 0.821)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

COST logo

Costco Wholesale Corp

COST

Market cap 451.9B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

ORCL logo

Oracle Corp

ORCL

Market cap 418.6B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

3

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.2072

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

-14.9389

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 7 hours ago · ID: stock-cost-vs-stock-orcl-daily