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Correlation Analysis

Costco Wholesale Corp vs MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc

COST vs MTSI

+0.827

Strong positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

COST logo

Costco Wholesale Corp

COST

Founded in 1983, Costco Wholesale now operates a global chain of membership-based warehouse clubs, delivering high-quality goods and services at consistently low prices. As of its most recent fiscal year, Costco operated approximately 910 warehouses, serving more than 80 million members across its three geographic segments: Costco US (approximately 73% of total revenue), Costco Canada (13%), and Costco International (14%).Costco's core value proposition—quality products at unbeatable prices—has yielded consistently strong member renewal rates (93% in the US and Canada and nearly 90% internationally). About 55% of Costco's fiscal 2025 revenue came from its grocery offerings, and another 25% from general merchandise.

Market cap 451.9B

MTSI logo

MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc

MTSI

MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings Inc is a provider of analog, digital, and mixed-signal semiconductor solutions to original equipment manufacturers and distributors. These solutions are found in systems for industrial, medical, scientific, and test and measurement markets. The firm's portfolio of products includes integrated circuits, multichip modules, power pallets and transistors, diodes, amplifiers, switches and switch limiters, passive and active components, and complete subsystems.

Market cap 17.5B · 2,000 employees

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockConsumer

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: COSTGray: MTSI36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

MTSI leads COST by 5 days

MTSI tends to move before COST.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.829 (they moved in the same direction).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.732

14 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.521

5 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.780

16 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

68.5%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

62.1%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.809, 0.844]

Scatter

XY Regression

3064006008001,0001,13437.350100150200250253.9Costco Wholesale CorpMACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, IncData pointsFit (r = 0.827)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

COST logo

Costco Wholesale Corp

COST

Market cap 451.9B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

MTSI logo

MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc

MTSI

Market cap 17.5B · 2,000 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

3

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.1686

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

-20.5239

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 6 hours ago · ID: stock-cost-vs-stock-mtsi-daily