Correlation Analysis
Costco Wholesale Corp vs Strategy Inc Common Stock Class A
COST vs MSTR
+0.852
Very strong positive
When one moves up, the other tends to follow.
Costco Wholesale Corp
↗COST
Founded in 1983, Costco Wholesale now operates a global chain of membership-based warehouse clubs, delivering high-quality goods and services at consistently low prices. As of its most recent fiscal year, Costco operated approximately 910 warehouses, serving more than 80 million members across its three geographic segments: Costco US (approximately 73% of total revenue), Costco Canada (13%), and Costco International (14%).Costco's core value proposition—quality products at unbeatable prices—has yielded consistently strong member renewal rates (93% in the US and Canada and nearly 90% internationally). About 55% of Costco's fiscal 2025 revenue came from its grocery offerings, and another 25% from general merchandise.
Market cap 451.9B
Strategy Inc Common Stock Class A
↗MSTR
Strategy Inc is a bitcoin treasury company and a provider of business intelligence services. It is designed to provide investors varying degrees of economic exposure to Bitcoin by offering a range of securities, including equity and fixed-income instruments. The company also provides industry AI-powered enterprise analytics software. It has one reportable operating segment: the Software Business, which is engaged in the design, development, marketing, and sales of the company's enterprise analytics software platform through cloud subscriptions and licensing arrangements and related services (i.e., product support, consulting, and education). Geographically, the company operates in EMEA, U.S. and Other Regions, of which maximum revenue is derived from U.S..
Market cap 44.1B · 1,539 employees
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
COST leads MSTR by 6 days
COST tends to move before MSTR.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.855 (they moved in the same direction).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+0.481
13 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-0.167
6 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.406
16 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
72.7%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
58.8%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [0.836, 0.867]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Costco Wholesale Corp
COST
Market cap 451.9B
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
Strategy Inc Common Stock Class A
MSTR
Market cap 44.1B · 1,539 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
23
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.4880
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-205.0306
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
COST
Costco Wholesale Corp
Highest
+0.977
Republic Services Inc.
RSG · 1,254 data points
Lowest
-0.912
Fiserv, Inc. Common Stock
FISV · 644 data points
MSTR
Strategy Inc Common Stock Class A
Highest
+0.903
NetFlix Inc
NFLX · 1,254 data points
Lowest
-0.071
Johnson & Johnson
JNJ · 1,254 data points
Saved 7 hours ago · ID: stock-cost-vs-stock-mstr-daily