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Correlation Analysis

Costco Wholesale Corp vs Morgan Stanley

COST vs MS

+0.765

Strong positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

COST logo

Costco Wholesale Corp

COST

Founded in 1983, Costco Wholesale now operates a global chain of membership-based warehouse clubs, delivering high-quality goods and services at consistently low prices. As of its most recent fiscal year, Costco operated approximately 910 warehouses, serving more than 80 million members across its three geographic segments: Costco US (approximately 73% of total revenue), Costco Canada (13%), and Costco International (14%).Costco's core value proposition—quality products at unbeatable prices—has yielded consistently strong member renewal rates (93% in the US and Canada and nearly 90% internationally). About 55% of Costco's fiscal 2025 revenue came from its grocery offerings, and another 25% from general merchandise.

Market cap 451.9B

MS logo

Morgan Stanley

MS

Morgan Stanley is a massive global financial services firm, with offices in 42 countries and more than 82,000 employees as of year-end 2025. The firm cut its teeth in investment banking and institutional trading, where it maintains a strong presence today, but generates the lion share of its income from wealth and asset management franchises, where it boasted $9.3 trillion in client assets at the end of its most recent fiscal year. After reincorporation as a bank holding company in the wake of the global financial crisis, Morgan Stanley also boasts a top 10 banking franchise by deposits, with more than $400 billion in customer deposits, predominately attributable to cash sweeps from its wealth management and brokerage businesses.

Market cap 263.4B · 83,000 employees

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockConsumerFinancials

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: COSTGray: MS36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

in sync

COST and MS tend to move at the same time.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.765 (they moved in the same direction).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.565

16 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

N/A

4 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.658

15 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

58.5%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

56.9%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.741, 0.787]

Scatter

XY Regression

3064006008001,0001,13462.180100120140160180185.5Costco Wholesale CorpMorgan StanleyData pointsFit (r = 0.765)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

COST logo

Costco Wholesale Corp

COST

Market cap 451.9B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

MS logo

Morgan Stanley

MS

Market cap 263.4B · 83,000 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

5

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.1017

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

37.1257

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 7 hours ago · ID: stock-cost-vs-stock-ms-daily