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Correlation Analysis

Costco Wholesale Corp vs Kimberly-Clark Corp.

COST vs KMB

-0.212

Light inverse

When one moves up, the other tends to move down.

COST logo

Costco Wholesale Corp

COST

Founded in 1983, Costco Wholesale now operates a global chain of membership-based warehouse clubs, delivering high-quality goods and services at consistently low prices. As of its most recent fiscal year, Costco operated approximately 910 warehouses, serving more than 80 million members across its three geographic segments: Costco US (approximately 73% of total revenue), Costco Canada (13%), and Costco International (14%).Costco's core value proposition—quality products at unbeatable prices—has yielded consistently strong member renewal rates (93% in the US and Canada and nearly 90% internationally). About 55% of Costco's fiscal 2025 revenue came from its grocery offerings, and another 25% from general merchandise.

Market cap 451.9B

KMB logo

Kimberly-Clark Corp.

KMB

With more than half of its sales from personal care and another third from consumer tissue products, Kimberly-Clark is a leading manufacturer in the tissue and hygiene realm. Its brand mix includes Huggies, Pull-Ups, Kotex, Depend, Kleenex, and Cottonelle. The firm also operates in the professional segment, partnering with businesses to provide workplace safety and sanitation solutions. Kimberly-Clark generates just over half its sales in North America and more than 10% in Europe, with the rest primarily concentrated in Asia and Latin America. It is slated to add Kenvue's consumer health portfolio to its mix in the second half of calendar year 2026.

Market cap 32.2B · 36,000 employees

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockConsumer

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: COSTGray: KMB36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

in sync

COST and KMB tend to move at the same time.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was -0.212 (they moved in opposite directions).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.087

11 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.480

7 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.437

17 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

4.5%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

60.2%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [-0.264, -0.158]

Scatter

XY Regression

3064006008001,0001,13488.790100110120130140150151.5Costco Wholesale CorpKimberly-Clark Corp.Data pointsFit (r = -0.212)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

COST logo

Costco Wholesale Corp

COST

Market cap 451.9B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

KMB logo

Kimberly-Clark Corp.

KMB

Market cap 32.2B · 36,000 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

5

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

-0.0107

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

136.6836

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 7 hours ago · ID: stock-cost-vs-stock-kmb-daily