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Correlation Analysis

Costco Wholesale Corp vs Equifax, Incorporated

COST vs EFX

+0.349

Light positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

COST logo

Costco Wholesale Corp

COST

Founded in 1983, Costco Wholesale now operates a global chain of membership-based warehouse clubs, delivering high-quality goods and services at consistently low prices. As of its most recent fiscal year, Costco operated approximately 910 warehouses, serving more than 80 million members across its three geographic segments: Costco US (approximately 73% of total revenue), Costco Canada (13%), and Costco International (14%).Costco's core value proposition—quality products at unbeatable prices—has yielded consistently strong member renewal rates (93% in the US and Canada and nearly 90% internationally). About 55% of Costco's fiscal 2025 revenue came from its grocery offerings, and another 25% from general merchandise.

Market cap 451.9B

EFX logo

Equifax, Incorporated

EFX

Along with Experian and TransUnion, Equifax is one of the leading credit bureaus in the United States. Equifax's credit reports provide credit histories on millions of consumers, and the firm's services are critical to lenders' credit decisions. In addition, about 40% of the firm's revenue comes from workforce solutions, which provides income verification and employer human resources services. Equifax generates about 25% of its revenue from outside the United States.

Market cap 22B · 15,000 employees

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockConsumer

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: COSTGray: EFX36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

EFX leads COST by 6 days

EFX tends to move before COST.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.364 (they moved in the same direction).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.419

15 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.053

9 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.678

11 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

12.2%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

63.7%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.299, 0.397]

Scatter

XY Regression

3064006008001,0001,134153.4160180200220240260280300308.1Costco Wholesale CorpEquifax, IncorporatedData pointsFit (r = 0.349)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

COST logo

Costco Wholesale Corp

COST

Market cap 451.9B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

EFX logo

Equifax, Incorporated

EFX

Market cap 22B · 15,000 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

7

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.0541

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

194.1773

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 7 hours ago · ID: stock-cost-vs-stock-efx-daily