Correlation Analysis
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. vs NetFlix Inc
CMG vs NFLX
+0.505
Moderate positive
When one moves up, the other tends to follow.
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.
↗CMG
Chipotle is a leading fast-casual, Mexican-inspired restaurant chain, generating $11.9 billion in sales across 3,983 company-operated US locations, 104 international units primarily in Canada and Europe, and 14 licensed stores largely operated in the Middle East at the end of 2025. The firm's revenue is primarily driven by food and beverage sales at its company-owned restaurants, supplemented by delivery fees generated through its first-party digital channels. Chipotle emphasizes ingredients with no artificial flavors and utilizes an efficient, assembly line service model to serve mainly customizable burritos, bowls, salads, quesadillas, and tacos.
Market cap 43.6B · 130,301 employees
NetFlix Inc
↗NFLX
Netflix's relatively simple business model involves only one business, its streaming service. It has the biggest television entertainment subscriber base in both the United States and the collective international market, with more than 300 million subscribers globally. Netflix has exposure to nearly the entire global population outside of China. The firm has traditionally avoided a regular slate of live programming or sports content, instead focusing on on-demand access to episodic television, movies, and documentaries. The firm introduced ad-supported subscription plans in 2022, giving the firm exposure to the advertising market in addition to the subscription fees that have historically accounted for nearly all its revenue.
Market cap 417.7B
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
CMG leads NFLX by 6 days
CMG tends to move before NFLX.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.526 (they moved in the same direction).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-0.208
16 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+0.207
10 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.362
9 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
25.5%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
65.4%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [0.463, 0.545]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.
CMG
Market cap 43.6B · 130,301 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
NetFlix Inc
NFLX
Market cap 417.7B
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
12
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
1.3829
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
4.9511
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
Saved 5 hours ago · ID: stock-cmg-vs-stock-nflx-daily