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Correlation Analysis

Ciena Corporation vs Mastercard Incorporated

CIEN vs MA

+0.499

Moderate positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

CIEN logo

Ciena Corporation

CIEN

Ciena is a telecommunications equipment provider focused on optical transport technologies, with clients in a number of industries such as communication services providers, web-scale providers, cable operators, government, and large enterprises worldwide. The company provides equipment, software, and services that support transport, switching, aggregation, service delivery, and data traffic management.

Market cap 61.4B · 9,080 employees

MA logo

Mastercard Incorporated

MA

Mastercard is the second-largest payment processor in the world, having processed close to $11 trillion in volume during 2025. Mastercard operates in over 200 countries and processes transactions in over 150 currencies.

Market cap 447.2B

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockFinancials

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: CIENGray: MA36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

MA leads CIEN by 6 days

MA tends to move before CIEN.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.513 (they moved in the same direction).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.133

15 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.802

8 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.593

12 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

24.9%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

61.7%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.456, 0.539]

Scatter

XY Regression

9100200300400480308.1350400450500550599.5Ciena CorporationMastercard IncorporatedData pointsFit (r = 0.499)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

CIEN logo

Ciena Corporation

CIEN

Market cap 61.4B · 9,080 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

MA logo

Mastercard Incorporated

MA

Market cap 447.2B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

26

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.6435

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

381.9191

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 6 hours ago · ID: stock-cien-vs-stock-ma-daily