Correlation Analysis
The Carlyle Group Inc. Common Stock vs Mastercard Incorporated
CG vs MA
+0.632
Moderate positive
When one moves up, the other tends to follow.
The Carlyle Group Inc. Common Stock
↗CG
Carlyle Group is one of the world's largest alternative-asset managers, with $476.9 billion in total AUM, including $336.8 billion in fee-earning AUM, at the end of 2025. The company has three core business segments: global private equity, which includes its private equity, real estate, infrastructure, and natural resources offerings (with $163.6 billion in total AUM and $101.4 billion in fee-earning AUM), global credit ($211.3 billion/$169.5 billion), and investment/fund solutions, known as Carlyle AlphInvest ($101.0 billion/$65.9 billion). The firm primarily serves institutional investors and high-net-worth individuals. Carlyle operates through 29 offices across five continents, serving more than 3,100 active carry fund investors from 87 countries.
Market cap 16.9B · 2,500 employees
Mastercard Incorporated
↗MA
Mastercard is the second-largest payment processor in the world, having processed close to $11 trillion in volume during 2025. Mastercard operates in over 200 countries and processes transactions in over 150 currencies.
Market cap 447.2B
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
in sync
CG and MA tend to move at the same time.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.632 (they moved in the same direction).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+0.372
13 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+0.654
12 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.802
10 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
40.0%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
66.4%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [0.598, 0.664]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
The Carlyle Group Inc. Common Stock
CG
Market cap 16.9B · 2,500 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
Mastercard Incorporated
MA
Market cap 447.2B
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
5
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
5.3263
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
201.1904
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
CG
The Carlyle Group Inc. Common Stock
Highest
+0.756
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
JPM · 1,254 data points
Lowest
-0.000
Exxon Mobil Corporation
XOM · 1,254 data points
Saved 5 hours ago · ID: stock-cg-vs-stock-ma-daily