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Correlation Analysis

Constellation Energy Corporation Common Stock vs Exxon Mobil Corporation

CEG vs XOM

+0.581

Moderate positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

CEG logo

Constellation Energy Corporation Common Stock

CEG

Constellation Energy Corp producer of carbon-free energy and a supplier of energy products and services. The company offers generating capacity that includes nuclear, wind, solar, natural gas, and hydroelectric assets. It sells electricity, natural gas, and other energy-related products and sustainable solutions to various types of customers, including distribution utilities, municipalities, cooperatives, and commercial, industrial, public sector, and residential customers in markets across multiple geographic regions. Its operating segments and reporting units are Mid-Atlantic, Midwest, New York, ERCOT, and Other Power Regions.

Market cap 99.7B · 15,339 employees

XOM logo

Exxon Mobil Corporation

XOM

ExxonMobil is an integrated oil and gas company that explores for, produces, and refines oil worldwide. In 2025, it produced 3.3 million barrels of liquids and 8.4 billion cubic feet of natural gas per day. At the end of 2024, reserves were 19.9 billion barrels of oil equivalent, 69% of which were liquids. The company is one of the world's largest refiners, with a total global refining capacity of 4.3 million barrels of oil per day, and is one of the world's largest manufacturers of commodity and specialty chemicals.

Market cap 680.7B

Feb 2, 2022 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,047 data pointsStockStockEnergyEnergy

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: CEGGray: XOM36 of 1,047 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

CEG leads XOM by 6 days

CEG tends to move before XOM.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.585 (they moved in the same direction).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.293

12 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

-0.096

5 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.553

18 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

33.8%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

58.1%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,047

Deep shared window — 1,047 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.540, 0.620]

Scatter

XY Regression

2510020030040040772.280100120140160170.7Constellation Energy Corporation Common StockExxon Mobil CorporationData pointsFit (r = 0.581)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,047 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,047

1,254

Normalized

1,047

1,254

Prepared

1,047

1,254

Aligned

1,047

1,047

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

207

A: 0 / B: 207

Series A

CEG logo

Constellation Energy Corporation Common Stock

CEG

Market cap 99.7B · 15,339 employees

Stock · 1,047 raw → 1,047 prepared

Series B

XOM logo

Exxon Mobil Corporation

XOM

Market cap 680.7B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

25

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.0816

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

94.9265

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 7 hours ago · ID: stock-ceg-vs-stock-xom-daily