Correlation Analysis
Caterpillar Inc. vs Oracle Corp
CAT vs ORCL
+0.732
Strong positive
When one moves up, the other tends to follow.
Caterpillar Inc.
↗CAT
Caterpillar is the world's leading manufacturer of construction and mining equipment, off-highway diesel and natural gas engines, industrial gas turbines, and diesel-electric locomotives. Its reporting segments are construction, resource, energy, and transportation. Market share approaches 20% across many products. Caterpillar operates a captive finance subsidiary to facilitate sales. The firm has a global reach that is approximately evenly balanced between the US and the rest of the world. Construction skews more domestic, while the other divisions are more geographically diversified. An independent network of over 150 dealers operates approximately 2,800 facilities, giving Caterpillar reach into about 190 countries for sales and support services.
Market cap 335.6B
Oracle Corp
↗ORCL
Oracle provides enterprise applications and infrastructure offerings through a variety of flexible IT deployment models, including on-premises, cloud-based, and hybrid. Founded in 1977, Oracle pioneered the first commercial SQL-based relational database management system, which is commonly used by the world's largest companies for high-volume online transaction processing workloads. Besides databases, Oracle also sells enterprise resource planning platforms and cloud infrastructure that play an increasingly important role in large language model training and inferencing.
Market cap 418.6B
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
ORCL leads CAT by 6 days
ORCL tends to move before CAT.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.751 (they moved in the same direction).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+0.303
17 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+0.278
10 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.902
8 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
53.6%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
62.7%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [0.705, 0.757]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Caterpillar Inc.
CAT
Market cap 335.6B
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
Oracle Corp
ORCL
Market cap 418.6B
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
35
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.3035
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
31.6294
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
Saved 8 hours ago · ID: stock-cat-vs-stock-orcl-daily