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Correlation Analysis

Bunge Global SA vs Walmart Inc. Common Stock

BG vs WMT

-0.087

Weak inverse

When one moves up, the other tends to move down.

BG logo

Bunge Global SA

BG

Bunge Global SA is an agribusiness solutions company, connecting farmers to consumers and delivering essential food, feed and fuel to the globe. The company segments include Soybean Processing and Refining; Softseed Processing and Refining; Other Oilseeds Processing and Refining; Grain Merchandising and Milling; and Corporate and Other. It generates maximum revenue from the Soybean Processing and Refining segment, which includes integrated business principally involved in the purchase, storage, transportation, processing, distribution, refining, marketing, and sale of soybeans and soybean related products, as well as biodiesel and fertilizer production and distribution. Geographically, the company operates in United States, Switzerland, Netherlands, and Rest of the World.

Market cap 24.9B · 34,000 employees

WMT logo

Walmart Inc. Common Stock

WMT

Since its founding in 1962, Walmart has become the world's largest retailer, operating over 10,700 stores globally (including 4,600 namesake locations on its home turf and another 600 Sam's Club outlets) and growing its e-commerce presence, attracting 270 million customers weekly. In aggregate, the firm posted more than $680 billion in fiscal 2025 sales. Its core operations span three reporting segments: Walmart US (68% of fiscal 2025 sales), Walmart International (18%), and Sam's Club (14%). Within the US, nearly 60% of its $465 billion in fiscal 2025 revenue came from its grocery offerings, with another quarter from general merchandise. Internationally, Walmart's operations are concentrated in Mexico, though it also has budding exposure to India.

Market cap 1T

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockConsumer

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: BGGray: WMT36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

BG leads WMT by 6 days

BG tends to move before WMT.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was -0.122 (they moved in opposite directions).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.577

15 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

-0.847

5 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.526

15 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

0.8%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

52.2%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.01

95% CI: [-0.142, -0.032]

Scatter

XY Regression

65.2708090100110120130131.634.7406080100120140141Bunge Global SAWalmart Inc. Common StockData pointsFit (r = -0.087)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

BG logo

Bunge Global SA

BG

Market cap 24.9B · 34,000 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

WMT logo

Walmart Inc. Common Stock

WMT

Market cap 1T

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

15

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

-0.1712

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

82.8882

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 6 hours ago · ID: stock-bg-vs-stock-wmt-daily