Correlation Analysis
Ball Corporation vs Mastercard Incorporated
BALL vs MA
-0.123
Weak inverse
When one moves up, the other tends to move down.
Ball Corporation
↗BALL
Ball is the world's largest metal can manufacturer with market share over 30% in its three main regions (North America, Europe, and South America). The company is focused on increasing capacity amid a wave of new developed-market demand, while also investing in faster-growing emerging-market economies. Ball spun-off its glass jar business in 1993 and is now owned by Newell. The company reports three segments-beverage packaging, North and Central America (48% of 2025 revenue), beverage packaging, EMEA (30%), beverage packaging, South America (16%)-and it generated $13 billion in revenue in 2025.
Market cap 15.9B · 16,000 employees
Mastercard Incorporated
↗MA
Mastercard is the second-largest payment processor in the world, having processed close to $11 trillion in volume during 2025. Mastercard operates in over 200 countries and processes transactions in over 150 currencies.
Market cap 447.2B
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
BALL leads MA by 6 days
BALL tends to move before MA.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was -0.137 (they moved in opposite directions).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+0.273
13 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+0.247
11 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.797
11 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
1.5%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
61.4%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
980
Deep shared window — 980 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [-0.184, -0.061]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
980 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
980
1,254
Normalized
980
1,254
Prepared
980
1,254
Aligned
980
980
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
274
A: 0 / B: 274
Series A
Ball Corporation
BALL
Market cap 15.9B · 16,000 employees
Stock · 980 raw → 980 prepared
Series B
Mastercard Incorporated
MA
Market cap 447.2B
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
13
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-1.5996
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
544.0475
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
Saved 5 hours ago · ID: stock-ball-vs-stock-ma-daily