Correlation Analysis
American Water Works Company, Inc vs Costco Wholesale Corp
AWK vs COST
-0.522
Moderate inverse
When one moves up, the other tends to move down.
American Water Works Company, Inc
↗AWK
American Water Works is the largest investor-owned US water and wastewater utility, serving nearly 4 million customers in 14 states. It provides water and wastewater services to residential, commercial, and industrial customers and operates predominantly in regulated markets. The company's nonregulated business is water services for military bases, which operates under long-term contracts with regulated-like returns. The proposed Essential Utilities acquisition would add regulated water and wastewater utilities in Ohio, North Carolina, and Texas while increasing its presence in Illinois, Indiana, Pennsylvania, New Jersey, and Virginia.
Market cap 26.9B · 7,000 employees
Costco Wholesale Corp
↗COST
Founded in 1983, Costco Wholesale now operates a global chain of membership-based warehouse clubs, delivering high-quality goods and services at consistently low prices. As of its most recent fiscal year, Costco operated approximately 910 warehouses, serving more than 80 million members across its three geographic segments: Costco US (approximately 73% of total revenue), Costco Canada (13%), and Costco International (14%).Costco's core value proposition—quality products at unbeatable prices—has yielded consistently strong member renewal rates (93% in the US and Canada and nearly 90% internationally). About 55% of Costco's fiscal 2025 revenue came from its grocery offerings, and another 25% from general merchandise.
Market cap 451.9B
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
AWK leads COST by 6 days
AWK tends to move before COST.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was -0.530 (they moved in opposite directions).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+0.038
13 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+0.423
8 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.738
14 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
27.2%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
61.3%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [-0.561, -0.480]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
American Water Works Company, Inc
AWK
Market cap 26.9B · 7,000 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
Costco Wholesale Corp
COST
Market cap 451.9B
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
5
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-7.1975
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
1719.1372
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
AWK
American Water Works Company, Inc
Highest
+0.053
Johnson & Johnson
JNJ · 1,254 data points
Lowest
-0.720
Exxon Mobil Corporation
XOM · 1,254 data points
Saved 5 hours ago · ID: stock-awk-vs-stock-cost-daily