Correlation Analysis
Broadcom Inc. Common Stock vs Ulta Beauty, Inc. Common Stock
AVGO vs ULTA
+0.575
Moderate positive
When one moves up, the other tends to follow.
Broadcom Inc. Common Stock
↗AVGO
Broadcom is one of the largest semiconductor companies in the world and has also expanded into infrastructure software. Its semiconductors primarily serve computing and networking, with custom AI accelerators now accounting for the bulk of the business. It is primarily a fabless designer, but holds some manufacturing in-house, such as for its best-of-breed film bulk acoustic resonator filters that sell into the Apple iPhone. In software, it sells virtualization, infrastructure, and security software to large enterprises, financial institutions, and governments. Broadcom is the product of consolidation. Its businesses are an amalgamation of former companies like legacy Broadcom and Avago Technologies in chips, as well as VMware, Brocade, CA Technologies, and Symantec in software.
Market cap 1.5T
Ulta Beauty, Inc. Common Stock
↗ULTA
Ulta Beauty is the largest specialized beauty retailer in the US with more than 1,500 freestanding stores. The firm offers cosmetics (38% of 2025 sales), fragrances (13%), skin care (24%), and hair care products (19%). It also has salon services, including hair, makeup, skin, and brow, that account for 4% of its revenue and drive customer traffic. Outside of the US, Ulta operates premium beauty retailer Space NK (86 stores at year-end 2025 in the UK and Ireland) and has franchised stores in Mexico, and a joint venture in the Middle East. In addition, Ulta collects royalties through its Target partnership (ending in summer 2026) and credit card revenue. Ulta was founded in 1990 and is based in Bolingbrook, Illinois.
Market cap 23.7B · 65,000 employees
Time Series
Rebased to 100
Who Moves First
in sync
AVGO and ULTA tend to move at the same time.
Best correlation after shifting: +0.575 (13 shifts scanned)
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+0.192
15 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-0.708
7 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.562
13 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
33.1%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
59.6%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [0.537, 0.611]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired observations survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Broadcom Inc. Common Stock
AVGO
Market cap 1.5T
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
Ulta Beauty, Inc. Common Stock
ULTA
Market cap 23.7B · 65,000 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
24
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.4599
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
373.9559
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
AVGO
Broadcom Inc. Common Stock
Highest
+0.981
GE Aerospace
GE · 1,254 observations
Lowest
-0.903
The Kraft Heinz Company Common Stock
KHC · 1,254 observations
ULTA
Ulta Beauty, Inc. Common Stock
Highest
+0.639
Micron Technology, Inc.
MU · 1,254 observations
Lowest
+0.198
Amazon.Com Inc
AMZN · 1,254 observations
Saved 3 hours ago · ID: stock-avgo-vs-stock-ulta-daily-20260408-d0vvz8