Correlation Analysis
Applovin Corporation Class A Common Stock vs Costco Wholesale Corp
APP vs COST
+0.773
Strong positive
When one moves up, the other tends to follow.
Applovin Corporation Class A Common Stock
↗APP
AppLovin is a vertically integrated advertising technology company that acts as a demand-side platform for advertisers, a supply-side platform for publishers, and an exchange facilitating transactions between the two. About 80% of AppLovin's revenue comes from the DSP, AppDiscovery, while the remainder comes from the SSP, Max. AppLovin's primary tool for future growth is AXON 2, which is an ad optimizer operating within the DSP that allows advertisers to place ads according to specified return thresholds.
Market cap 139.2B · 898 employees
Costco Wholesale Corp
↗COST
Founded in 1983, Costco Wholesale now operates a global chain of membership-based warehouse clubs, delivering high-quality goods and services at consistently low prices. As of its most recent fiscal year, Costco operated approximately 910 warehouses, serving more than 80 million members across its three geographic segments: Costco US (approximately 73% of total revenue), Costco Canada (13%), and Costco International (14%).Costco's core value proposition—quality products at unbeatable prices—has yielded consistently strong member renewal rates (93% in the US and Canada and nearly 90% internationally). About 55% of Costco's fiscal 2025 revenue came from its grocery offerings, and another 25% from general merchandise.
Market cap 451.9B
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
COST leads APP by 6 days
COST tends to move before APP.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.776 (they moved in the same direction).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+0.221
15 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+0.757
8 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.841
12 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
59.7%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
58.3%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,250
Deep shared window — 1,250 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [0.749, 0.794]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,250 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,250
1,254
Normalized
1,250
1,254
Prepared
1,250
1,254
Aligned
1,250
1,250
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
4
A: 0 / B: 4
Series A
Applovin Corporation Class A Common Stock
APP
Market cap 139.2B · 898 employees
Stock · 1,250 raw → 1,250 prepared
Series B
Costco Wholesale Corp
COST
Market cap 451.9B
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
35
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.8757
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
541.7458
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
APP
Applovin Corporation Class A Common Stock
Highest
+0.934
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
JPM · 1,250 data points
Lowest
+0.426
Exxon Mobil Corporation
XOM · 1,250 data points
Saved 5 hours ago · ID: stock-app-vs-stock-cost-daily