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Correlation Analysis

Apollo Global Management, Inc. vs Mastercard Incorporated

APO vs MA

+0.933

Very strong positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

APO logo

Apollo Global Management, Inc.

APO

Apollo is one of the world's largest alternative asset managers, with $938.4 billion in total assets under management, or AUM, including $709.1 billion in fee-earning assets, at the end of 2025. The company has two core operating segments: asset management and retirement services. Apollo operates with scale in each of its major product lines—private equity (with $128.4 billion in total AUM and $75.0 billion in fee-earning AUM), real estate/real assets ($60.8 billion/$27.6 billion), and credit ($749.2 billion/$606.5 billion). Apollo has a distribution profile that is likely not too far off from the industry averages—with 84% of its assets held by institutional investors and 16% by high-net-worth clients.

Market cap 61.4B · 4,130 employees

MA logo

Mastercard Incorporated

MA

Mastercard is the second-largest payment processor in the world, having processed close to $11 trillion in volume during 2025. Mastercard operates in over 200 countries and processes transactions in over 150 currencies.

Market cap 447.2B

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockFinancials

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: APOGray: MA36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

APO leads MA by 1 day

APO tends to move before MA.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.933 (they moved in the same direction).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.291

14 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.889

10 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.781

11 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

87.0%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

65.5%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.925, 0.939]

Scatter

XY Regression

37.2406080100120140160179.4308.1350400450500550599.5Apollo Global Management, Inc.Mastercard IncorporatedData pointsFit (r = 0.933)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

APO logo

Apollo Global Management, Inc.

APO

Market cap 61.4B · 4,130 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

MA logo

Mastercard Incorporated

MA

Market cap 447.2B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

11

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

2.2385

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

218.5752

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

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