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Correlation Analysis

Amazon.Com Inc vs McDonald's Corporation

AMZN vs MCD

+0.495

Moderate positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

AMZN logo

Amazon.Com Inc

AMZN

Amazon is the leading online retailer and marketplace for third party sellers. Retail related revenue represents approximately 74% of total, followed by Amazon Web Services (17%), and advertising services (9%). International segments constitute 22% of Amazon's total revenue, led by Germany, the United Kingdom, and Japan.

Market cap 2.3T

M

McDonald's Corporation

MCD

McDonald's is the world's largest restaurant brand, with nearly $139 billion in systemwide sales across more than 45,000 restaurants and over 100 markets. The quick-service chain built its early reputation on speed, consistency, and affordable hamburgers, and today its global menu spans burgers, chicken, breakfast, and beverages that have helped popularize American fast-food cuisine worldwide. The firm derives the bulk of its revenue from franchise royalties and rent (about 62%), with the remainder stemming from company-operated restaurants across three segments: the United States (39% of systemwide sales), international operated markets (35%), and international developmental/licensed markets (26%).

Market cap 220.6B

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 observationsStockStockTechnologyConsumer

Time Series

Rebased to 100

Green: AMZNGray: MCD36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

MCD leads AMZN by 6 days

MCD tends to move before AMZN.

Best correlation after shifting: +0.497 (13 shifts scanned)

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

-0.019

14 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

-0.282

7 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.704

14 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

24.5%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

55.8%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.452, 0.535]

Scatter

XY Regression

75.380100120140160180200220240241.9223.4240260280300320340340.1Amazon.Com IncMcDonald's CorporationData pointsFit (r = 0.495)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired observations survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

AMZN logo

Amazon.Com Inc

AMZN

Market cap 2.3T

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

M

McDonald's Corporation

MCD

Market cap 220.6B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

30

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.3086

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

224.8044

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 3 hours ago · ID: stock-amzn-vs-stock-mcd-daily-20260408-9f96l5