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Correlate

Correlation Analysis

Amazon.Com Inc vs UNRATE

AMZN vs UNRATE

+0.479

Moderate positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

AMZN logo

Amazon.Com Inc

AMZN

Amazon is the leading online retailer and marketplace for third party sellers. Retail related revenue represents approximately 74% of total, followed by Amazon Web Services (17%), and advertising services (9%). International segments constitute 22% of Amazon's total revenue, led by Germany, the United Kingdom, and Japan.

Market cap 2.3T

F

UNRATE

UNRATE

Apr 1, 2021 — Mar 1, 2026Monthly59 data pointsStockFREDTechnology

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: AMZNGray: UNRATE36 of 59 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

AMZN leads UNRATE by 5 months

AMZN tends to move before UNRATE.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.754 (they moved in the same direction).

Stability

Rolling Correlation

How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.

Dashed line = zero correlationRange: -1 to +1

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

-0.036

8 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

-0.242

7 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.389

20 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

23.0%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

56.8%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

59

Thin shared window — 59 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.254, 0.655]

Scatter

XY Regression

75.8100150200250251.23.293.544.555.566.31Amazon.Com IncUNRATEData pointsFit (r = 0.479)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

59 paired data points survived the monthly window.

Raw input

1,254

938

Normalized

1,254

938

Prepared

61

938

Aligned

59

59

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

881

A: 2 / B: 879

Series A

AMZN logo

Amazon.Com Inc

AMZN

Market cap 2.3T

Stock · 1,254 raw → 61 prepared

Series B

F

UNRATE

FRED · 938 raw → 938 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

6

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.0067

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

2.9773

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 6 hours ago · ID: stock-amzn-vs-fred-unrate-monthly-20260408-iy7sdz