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Correlation Analysis

Airbnb, Inc. Class A Common Stock vs Walmart Inc. Common Stock

ABNB vs WMT

-0.118

Weak inverse

When one moves up, the other tends to move down.

ABNB logo

Airbnb, Inc. Class A Common Stock

ABNB

Airbnb is the world's largest online alternative accommodation travel agency; it also offers booking services for boutique hotels, experiences, and hotel-like services. Airbnb's platform offers over 9 million active accommodation listings. Listings from the company's 5 million-plus hosts are spread over almost every country in the world. In 2025, 42% of revenue was from North America, 39% from Europe, the Middle East, and Africa, 10% from Latin America, and 9% from Asia-Pacific. Transaction fees for online bookings account for all its revenue.

Market cap 76B · 8,200 employees

WMT logo

Walmart Inc. Common Stock

WMT

Since its founding in 1962, Walmart has become the world's largest retailer, operating over 10,700 stores globally (including 4,600 namesake locations on its home turf and another 600 Sam's Club outlets) and growing its e-commerce presence, attracting 270 million customers weekly. In aggregate, the firm posted more than $680 billion in fiscal 2025 sales. Its core operations span three reporting segments: Walmart US (68% of fiscal 2025 sales), Walmart International (18%), and Sam's Club (14%). Within the US, nearly 60% of its $465 billion in fiscal 2025 revenue came from its grocery offerings, with another quarter from general merchandise. Internationally, Walmart's operations are concentrated in Mexico, though it also has budding exposure to India.

Market cap 1T

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockConsumer

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: ABNBGray: WMT36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

ABNB leads WMT by 5 days

ABNB tends to move before WMT.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was -0.120 (they moved in opposite directions).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

-0.073

13 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.579

6 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.474

16 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

1.4%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

55.9%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [-0.172, -0.063]

Scatter

XY Regression

79.780100120140160180186.934.7406080100120140141Airbnb, Inc. Class A Common StockWalmart Inc. Common StockData pointsFit (r = -0.118)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

ABNB logo

Airbnb, Inc. Class A Common Stock

ABNB

Market cap 76B · 8,200 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

WMT logo

Walmart Inc. Common Stock

WMT

Market cap 1T

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

37

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

-0.1378

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

85.2591

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 7 hours ago · ID: stock-abnb-vs-stock-wmt-daily