Correlation Analysis
Airbnb, Inc. Class A Common Stock vs Mastercard Incorporated
ABNB vs MA
-0.027
Near-zero inverse
When one moves up, the other tends to move down.
Airbnb, Inc. Class A Common Stock
↗ABNB
Airbnb is the world's largest online alternative accommodation travel agency; it also offers booking services for boutique hotels, experiences, and hotel-like services. Airbnb's platform offers over 9 million active accommodation listings. Listings from the company's 5 million-plus hosts are spread over almost every country in the world. In 2025, 42% of revenue was from North America, 39% from Europe, the Middle East, and Africa, 10% from Latin America, and 9% from Asia-Pacific. Transaction fees for online bookings account for all its revenue.
Market cap 76B · 8,200 employees
Mastercard Incorporated
↗MA
Mastercard is the second-largest payment processor in the world, having processed close to $11 trillion in volume during 2025. Mastercard operates in over 200 countries and processes transactions in over 150 currencies.
Market cap 447.2B
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
ABNB leads MA by 6 days
ABNB tends to move before MA.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was -0.051 (they moved in opposite directions).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+0.238
11 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+0.253
10 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.868
14 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
0.1%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
63.5%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
n.s.
95% CI: [-0.082, 0.028]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Airbnb, Inc. Class A Common Stock
ABNB
Market cap 76B · 8,200 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
Mastercard Incorporated
MA
Market cap 447.2B
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
19
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.1098
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
447.0272
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
ABNB
Airbnb, Inc. Class A Common Stock
Highest
+0.122
NetFlix Inc
NFLX · 1,254 data points
Lowest
-0.459
Exxon Mobil Corporation
XOM · 1,254 data points
Saved 7 hours ago · ID: stock-abnb-vs-stock-ma-daily