Correlation Analysis
Airbnb, Inc. Class A Common Stock vs Costco Wholesale Corp
ABNB vs COST
-0.076
Weak inverse
When one moves up, the other tends to move down.
Airbnb, Inc. Class A Common Stock
↗ABNB
Airbnb is the world's largest online alternative accommodation travel agency; it also offers booking services for boutique hotels, experiences, and hotel-like services. Airbnb's platform offers over 9 million active accommodation listings. Listings from the company's 5 million-plus hosts are spread over almost every country in the world. In 2025, 42% of revenue was from North America, 39% from Europe, the Middle East, and Africa, 10% from Latin America, and 9% from Asia-Pacific. Transaction fees for online bookings account for all its revenue.
Market cap 76B · 8,200 employees
Costco Wholesale Corp
↗COST
Founded in 1983, Costco Wholesale now operates a global chain of membership-based warehouse clubs, delivering high-quality goods and services at consistently low prices. As of its most recent fiscal year, Costco operated approximately 910 warehouses, serving more than 80 million members across its three geographic segments: Costco US (approximately 73% of total revenue), Costco Canada (13%), and Costco International (14%).Costco's core value proposition—quality products at unbeatable prices—has yielded consistently strong member renewal rates (93% in the US and Canada and nearly 90% internationally). About 55% of Costco's fiscal 2025 revenue came from its grocery offerings, and another 25% from general merchandise.
Market cap 451.9B
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
ABNB leads COST by 1 day
ABNB tends to move before COST.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was -0.076 (they moved in opposite directions).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+0.307
11 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+0.682
6 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.558
18 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
0.6%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
58.7%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.01
95% CI: [-0.131, -0.021]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Airbnb, Inc. Class A Common Stock
ABNB
Market cap 76B · 8,200 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
Costco Wholesale Corp
COST
Market cap 451.9B
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
5
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.7718
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
786.1648
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
ABNB
Airbnb, Inc. Class A Common Stock
Highest
+0.122
NetFlix Inc
NFLX · 1,254 data points
Lowest
-0.459
Exxon Mobil Corporation
XOM · 1,254 data points
Saved 6 hours ago · ID: stock-abnb-vs-stock-cost-daily