Correlation Analysis
Apple Inc. vs United Parcel Service, Inc. Class B
AAPL vs UPS
-0.822
Strong inverse
When one moves up, the other tends to move down.
Apple Inc.
↗AAPL
Apple is among the largest companies in the world, with a broad portfolio of hardware and software products targeted at consumers and businesses. Apple's iPhone makes up a majority of the firm sales, and Apple's other products like Mac, iPad, and Watch are designed around the iPhone as the focal point of an expansive software ecosystem. Apple has progressively worked to add new applications, like streaming video, subscription bundles, and augmented reality. The firm designs its own software and semiconductors while working with subcontractors like Foxconn and TSMC to build its products and chips. Slightly less than half of Apple's sales come directly through its flagship stores, with a majority of sales coming indirectly through partnerships and distribution.
Market cap 3.8T
United Parcel Service, Inc. Class B
↗UPS
As the world's largest parcel delivery company, UPS manages a massive fleet of more than 500 planes and 100,000 vehicles, along with many hundreds of sorting facilities, to deliver an average of about 22 million packages per day to residences and businesses across the globe. UPS' domestic US package operations generate around 65% of total revenue, while international package makes up 20%. Air and ocean freight forwarding and contract logistics make up the remainder.
Market cap 82.6B · 460,000 employees
Time Series
Rebased to 100
Who Moves First
UPS leads AAPL by 6 days
UPS tends to move before AAPL.
Best correlation after shifting: -0.829 (13 shifts scanned)
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+0.313
11 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-0.102
9 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.557
15 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
67.6%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
61.5%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [-0.839, -0.803]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired observations survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Apple Inc.
AAPL
Market cap 3.8T
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
United Parcel Service, Inc. Class B
UPS
Market cap 82.6B · 460,000 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
9
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.7932
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
304.7649
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
AAPL
Apple Inc.
Highest
+0.935
Arista Networks
ANET · 1,254 observations
Lowest
-0.847
Fiserv, Inc. Common Stock
FISV · 644 observations
UPS
United Parcel Service, Inc. Class B
Highest
-0.213
Johnson & Johnson
JNJ · 1,254 observations
Lowest
-0.939
Meta Platforms, Inc. Class A Common Stock
META · 1,107 observations
Saved 3 hours ago · ID: stock-aapl-vs-stock-ups-daily-20260408-erqo0k