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Correlation Analysis

Apple Inc. vs PayPal Holdings, Inc. Common Stock

AAPL vs PYPL

-0.506

Moderate inverse

When one moves up, the other tends to move down.

AAPL logo

Apple Inc.

AAPL

Apple is among the largest companies in the world, with a broad portfolio of hardware and software products targeted at consumers and businesses. Apple's iPhone makes up a majority of the firm sales, and Apple's other products like Mac, iPad, and Watch are designed around the iPhone as the focal point of an expansive software ecosystem. Apple has progressively worked to add new applications, like streaming video, subscription bundles, and augmented reality. The firm designs its own software and semiconductors while working with subcontractors like Foxconn and TSMC to build its products and chips. Slightly less than half of Apple's sales come directly through its flagship stores, with a majority of sales coming indirectly through partnerships and distribution.

Market cap 3.8T

PYPL logo

PayPal Holdings, Inc. Common Stock

PYPL

PayPal was spun off from eBay in 2015 and provides electronic payment solutions to merchants and consumers, with a focus on online transactions. The company had 434 million active accounts at the end of 2024. The company also owns Venmo, a person-to-person payment platform.

Market cap 41.9B · 23,800 employees

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 observationsStockStockTechnologyFinancials

Time Series

Rebased to 100

Green: AAPLGray: PYPL36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

AAPL leads PYPL by 4 days

AAPL tends to move before PYPL.

Best correlation after shifting: -0.508 (13 shifts scanned)

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

-0.104

10 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

-0.147

12 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.529

13 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

25.6%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

65.6%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [-0.546, -0.464]

Scatter

XY Regression

112.3120140160180200220240260280285.617.950100150200250300324.9Apple Inc.PayPal Holdings, Inc. Common StockData pointsFit (r = -0.506)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired observations survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

AAPL logo

Apple Inc.

AAPL

Market cap 3.8T

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

PYPL logo

PayPal Holdings, Inc. Common Stock

PYPL

Market cap 41.9B · 23,800 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

3

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

-0.8473

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

260.5550

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 3 hours ago · ID: stock-aapl-vs-stock-pypl-daily-20260408-p5afqk