Correlation Analysis
Apple Inc. vs Progressive Corporation
AAPL vs PGR
+0.792
Strong positive
When one moves up, the other tends to follow.
Apple Inc.
↗AAPL
Apple is among the largest companies in the world, with a broad portfolio of hardware and software products targeted at consumers and businesses. Apple's iPhone makes up a majority of the firm sales, and Apple's other products like Mac, iPad, and Watch are designed around the iPhone as the focal point of an expansive software ecosystem. Apple has progressively worked to add new applications, like streaming video, subscription bundles, and augmented reality. The firm designs its own software and semiconductors while working with subcontractors like Foxconn and TSMC to build its products and chips. Slightly less than half of Apple's sales come directly through its flagship stores, with a majority of sales coming indirectly through partnerships and distribution.
Market cap 3.8T
Progressive Corporation
↗PGR
Progressive underwrites private and commercial auto insurance and specialty lines; it has almost 27 million personal auto policies in force and is one of the largest auto insurers in the United States. Progressive markets its policies through independent insurance agencies in the US and Canada and directly via the internet and telephone. Its premiums are split between the agent and the direct channel. The company also offers commercial auto policies and entered homeowners insurance through an acquisition in 2015.
Market cap 114.9B · 70,000 employees
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
PGR leads AAPL by 6 days
PGR tends to move before AAPL.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.793 (they moved in the same direction).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-0.193
10 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-0.229
5 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.788
20 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
62.8%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
54.7%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [0.771, 0.812]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Apple Inc.
AAPL
Market cap 3.8T
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
Progressive Corporation
PGR
Market cap 114.9B · 70,000 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
26
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
1.1853
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-52.5029
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
Saved 5 hours ago · ID: stock-aapl-vs-stock-pgr-daily-20260408-a4tw7g