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Correlation Analysis

Apple Inc. vs O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.

AAPL vs ORLY

+0.882

Very strong positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

AAPL logo

Apple Inc.

AAPL

Apple is among the largest companies in the world, with a broad portfolio of hardware and software products targeted at consumers and businesses. Apple's iPhone makes up a majority of the firm sales, and Apple's other products like Mac, iPad, and Watch are designed around the iPhone as the focal point of an expansive software ecosystem. Apple has progressively worked to add new applications, like streaming video, subscription bundles, and augmented reality. The firm designs its own software and semiconductors while working with subcontractors like Foxconn and TSMC to build its products and chips. Slightly less than half of Apple's sales come directly through its flagship stores, with a majority of sales coming indirectly through partnerships and distribution.

Market cap 3.8T

ORLY logo

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.

ORLY

O'Reilly is an aftermarket automotive parts retailer in the United States and Mexico with more than $16 billion in annual sales. The company operates over 6,000 domestic stores and serves both the do-it-yourself (about 50% of sales) and professional (47% of sales) end markets. O'Reilly differentiates itself by providing quality service to its customers throughout the entirety of the vehicle diagnosis and purchasing process. Furthermore, the firm boasts an impressive hub-and-spoke distribution network designed to provide its localized store base with ample aftermarket part availability across a variety of vehicle makes and models.

Market cap 77.1B · 92,923 employees

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockTechnology

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: AAPLGray: ORLY36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

ORLY leads AAPL by 6 days

ORLY tends to move before AAPL.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.883 (they moved in the same direction).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.133

15 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.338

6 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.693

14 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

77.9%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

58.6%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.869, 0.894]

Scatter

XY Regression

112.3120140160180200220240260280285.628.8406080100110.8Apple Inc.O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.Data pointsFit (r = 0.882)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

AAPL logo

Apple Inc.

AAPL

Market cap 3.8T

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

ORLY logo

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.

ORLY

Market cap 77.1B · 92,923 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

41

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.4395

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

-17.0280

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 5 hours ago · ID: stock-aapl-vs-stock-orly-daily-20260408-jfqps6