Correlation Analysis
Apple Inc. vs Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.
AAPL vs CMG
+0.506
Moderate positive
When one moves up, the other tends to follow.
Apple Inc.
↗AAPL
Apple is among the largest companies in the world, with a broad portfolio of hardware and software products targeted at consumers and businesses. Apple's iPhone makes up a majority of the firm sales, and Apple's other products like Mac, iPad, and Watch are designed around the iPhone as the focal point of an expansive software ecosystem. Apple has progressively worked to add new applications, like streaming video, subscription bundles, and augmented reality. The firm designs its own software and semiconductors while working with subcontractors like Foxconn and TSMC to build its products and chips. Slightly less than half of Apple's sales come directly through its flagship stores, with a majority of sales coming indirectly through partnerships and distribution.
Market cap 3.8T
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.
↗CMG
Chipotle is a leading fast-casual, Mexican-inspired restaurant chain, generating $11.9 billion in sales across 3,983 company-operated US locations, 104 international units primarily in Canada and Europe, and 14 licensed stores largely operated in the Middle East at the end of 2025. The firm's revenue is primarily driven by food and beverage sales at its company-owned restaurants, supplemented by delivery fees generated through its first-party digital channels. Chipotle emphasizes ingredients with no artificial flavors and utilizes an efficient, assembly line service model to serve mainly customizable burritos, bowls, salads, quesadillas, and tacos.
Market cap 43.6B · 130,301 employees
Who Moves First
CMG leads AAPL by 6 days
CMG tends to move before AAPL.
Best correlation after shifting: +0.520 (13 shifts scanned)
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+0.269
15 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+0.798
12 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.715
8 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
25.6%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
62.2%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [0.464, 0.546]
Time Series
Rebased to 100
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired observations survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Apple Inc.
AAPL
Market cap 3.8T
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.
CMG
Market cap 43.6B · 130,301 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
39
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.1375
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
15.2550
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
Saved 3 hours ago · ID: stock-aapl-vs-stock-cmg-daily-20260408-s8recd