Correlation Analysis
Apple Inc. vs The Carlyle Group Inc. Common Stock
AAPL vs CG
+0.565
Moderate positive
When one moves up, the other tends to follow.
Apple Inc.
↗AAPL
Apple is among the largest companies in the world, with a broad portfolio of hardware and software products targeted at consumers and businesses. Apple's iPhone makes up a majority of the firm sales, and Apple's other products like Mac, iPad, and Watch are designed around the iPhone as the focal point of an expansive software ecosystem. Apple has progressively worked to add new applications, like streaming video, subscription bundles, and augmented reality. The firm designs its own software and semiconductors while working with subcontractors like Foxconn and TSMC to build its products and chips. Slightly less than half of Apple's sales come directly through its flagship stores, with a majority of sales coming indirectly through partnerships and distribution.
Market cap 3.8T
The Carlyle Group Inc. Common Stock
↗CG
Carlyle Group is one of the world's largest alternative-asset managers, with $476.9 billion in total AUM, including $336.8 billion in fee-earning AUM, at the end of 2025. The company has three core business segments: global private equity, which includes its private equity, real estate, infrastructure, and natural resources offerings (with $163.6 billion in total AUM and $101.4 billion in fee-earning AUM), global credit ($211.3 billion/$169.5 billion), and investment/fund solutions, known as Carlyle AlphInvest ($101.0 billion/$65.9 billion). The firm primarily serves institutional investors and high-net-worth individuals. Carlyle operates through 29 offices across five continents, serving more than 3,100 active carry fund investors from 87 countries.
Market cap 16.9B · 2,500 employees
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
CG leads AAPL by 6 days
CG tends to move before AAPL.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.566 (they moved in the same direction).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+0.027
11 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+0.697
9 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.775
15 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
31.9%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
65.0%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [0.526, 0.602]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Apple Inc.
AAPL
Market cap 3.8T
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
The Carlyle Group Inc. Common Stock
CG
Market cap 16.9B · 2,500 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
29
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.1412
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
16.7744
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
Saved 5 hours ago · ID: stock-aapl-vs-stock-cg-daily-20260408-v0lw2m