Correlation Analysis
Alcoa Corporation vs Micron Technology, Inc.
AA vs MU
+0.248
Light positive
When one moves up, the other tends to follow.
Alcoa Corporation
↗AA
Alcoa is a vertically integrated aluminum company whose operations include bauxite mining, alumina refining, and manufacturing primary aluminum. It is one of the world's largest bauxite miners and alumina refiners by production volume, but sits outside the top-10 aluminum producers, a list dominated by Chinese companies. Profits are closely tied to prevailing commodity prices along the aluminum supply chain.Alcoa was the first mass producer of aluminum, launching the world-changing Hall-Heroult smelting process in the 1880s, making aluminum affordable. It listed as a public company in 1925. In 2016, Alcoa spun off its automotive and aerospace metal parts segment to focus on mining, smelting, and refining. It bought the 40% unowned balance of AWAC in mid-2024.
Market cap 18.7B · 14,900 employees
Micron Technology, Inc.
↗MU
Micron is one of the largest semiconductor companies in the world, specializing in memory and storage chips. Its primary revenue stream comes from dynamic random access memory, or DRAM, and it also has minority exposure to not-and or NAND, flash chips. Micron serves a global customer base, selling chips into data centers, mobile phones, consumer electronics, and industrial and automotive applications. The firm is vertically integrated.
Market cap 426B · 53,000 employees
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
MU leads AA by 6 days
MU tends to move before AA.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.252 (they moved in the same direction).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+0.179
11 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-0.143
12 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.688
12 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
6.2%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
61.7%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [0.196, 0.300]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Alcoa Corporation
AA
Market cap 18.7B · 14,900 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
Micron Technology, Inc.
MU
Market cap 426B · 53,000 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
33
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
1.4426
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
46.4796
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
Saved 7 hours ago · ID: stock-aa-vs-stock-mu-daily