Correlation Analysis
Alcoa Corporation vs BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY Class B
AA vs BRK.B
-0.242
Light inverse
When one moves up, the other tends to move down.
Alcoa Corporation
↗AA
Alcoa is a vertically integrated aluminum company whose operations include bauxite mining, alumina refining, and manufacturing primary aluminum. It is one of the world's largest bauxite miners and alumina refiners by production volume, but sits outside the top-10 aluminum producers, a list dominated by Chinese companies. Profits are closely tied to prevailing commodity prices along the aluminum supply chain.Alcoa was the first mass producer of aluminum, launching the world-changing Hall-Heroult smelting process in the 1880s, making aluminum affordable. It listed as a public company in 1925. In 2016, Alcoa spun off its automotive and aerospace metal parts segment to focus on mining, smelting, and refining. It bought the 40% unowned balance of AWAC in mid-2024.
Market cap 18.7B · 14,900 employees
BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY Class B
↗BRK.B
Berkshire Hathaway is a holding company with a wide array of subsidiaries engaged in diverse activities. The firm's core business segment is insurance, run primarily through Geico, Berkshire Hathaway Reinsurance Group, and Berkshire Hathaway Primary Group. Berkshire has used the excess cash thrown off from its operations to acquire Burlington Northern Santa Fe (railroad), Berkshire Hathaway Energy (utilities and energy distributors), and the companies that make up its manufacturing, service, and retailing operations (which include Precision Castparts, Lubrizol, Clayton Homes, Marmon, and IMC/ISCAR). The conglomerate is unique in that it is run on a completely decentralized basis. Berkshire is expected to generate close to $375 billion in revenue in 2025.
Market cap 1T
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
AA leads BRK.B by 6 days
AA tends to move before BRK.B.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was -0.271 (they moved in opposite directions).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+0.500
11 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+0.609
6 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.627
18 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
5.8%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
60.6%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [-0.293, -0.189]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Alcoa Corporation
AA
Market cap 18.7B · 14,900 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY Class B
BRK.B
Market cap 1T
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
3
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-1.5225
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
443.3805
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
Saved 9 hours ago · ID: stock-aa-vs-stock-brk-b-daily