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Correlate

Correlation Analysis

Consumer Price Indices (CPIs, HICPs), COICOP 1999: Consumer Price Index: Total for Korea vs Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items in U.S. City Average

KORCPIALLMINMEI vs CPIAUCSL

+0.996

Very strong positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

Jan 1, 1960 — Nov 1, 2023Daily767 observationsFREDFRED

AI Analysis

The nearly perfect correlation between the KORCPIALLMINMEI and CPIAUCSL indicates that movements in the Korean Consumer Price Index align closely with those in the U.S. Consumer Price Index, suggesting that inflation trends in Korea closely track those in the United States. The observation that the U.S. CPI leads the Korean index by one period means that investors and economists should pay attention to U.S. inflation trends as they may provide predictive insights into Korean inflation. However, while this correlation is strong, it’s essential to consider other factors that could influence inflation independently in each country, such as local economic conditions and policy responses.

Timing Offset

y leads x by 1 period

CPIAUCSL tends to move before KORCPIALLMINMEI.

-6-5-4-3-2-10+1+2+3+4+5+6

Correlation at each lag offset (periods). Peak marked with dot.

Peak correlation at offset: +0.998 (13 lags scanned)

R-Squared

99.2%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

100.0%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

767

Deep shared window — 767 usable pairs.

Time Series

Rebased to 100

Green: KORCPIALLMINMEIGray: CPIAUCSL36 points

Scatter

XY Regression

-8.1020406080100120128.37.150100150200250300330.5Consumer Price Indices (CPIs, HICPs), COICOP 1999: Consumer Price Index: Total for KoreaConsumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items in U.S. City AverageData pointsFit (r = -0.996)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

767 paired observations survived the daily window.

Raw input

767

949

Normalized

767

949

Prepared

767

949

Aligned

767

767

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

182

A: 0 / B: 182

Series A

KORCPIALLMINMEI

Consumer Price Indices (CPIs, HICPs), COICOP 1999: Consumer Price Index: Total for Korea

FRED · 767 raw → 767 prepared

Series B

CPIAUCSL

Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items in U.S. City Average

FRED · 949 raw → 949 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

1

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

2.1528

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

31.2102

Linear regression intercept.

Saved 10 hours ago · ID: fred-korcpiallminmei-vs-fred-cpiaucsl-daily-20260406-rb61md