Correlation Analysis
Consumer Price Index: All Items: City: Total for Canada vs Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items in U.S. City Average
CPALCY01CAM661N vs CPIAUCSL
+0.995
Very strong positive
When one moves up, the other tends to follow.
AI Analysis
The exceptionally high correlation between Series A (Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items in Canada) and Series B (U.S. Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers) indicates that price movements in Canada closely mirror those in the U.S. over the analyzed period. This strong relationship suggests that trends in inflationary pressures are likely to affect both economies similarly, making it crucial for investors and policymakers to consider U.S. price dynamics when assessing Canadian inflation. The timing offset, showing that the two series move in sync, reinforces the idea that economic conditions influencing prices are likely to impact both countries simultaneously, although one should remain aware of potential lag effects and local economic factors that could influence the correlation in specific instances.
Timing Offset
in sync
CPALCY01CAM661N and CPIAUCSL tend to move at the same time.
Correlation at each lag offset (periods). Peak marked with dot.
Peak correlation at offset: +0.995 (13 lags scanned)
R-Squared
99.0%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
97.1%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
755
Deep shared window — 755 usable pairs.
Time Series
Rebased to 100
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
755 paired observations survived the daily window.
Raw input
755
949
Normalized
755
949
Prepared
755
949
Aligned
755
755
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
194
A: 0 / B: 194
Series A
CPALCY01CAM661N
Consumer Price Index: All Items: City: Total for Canada
FRED · 755 raw → 755 prepared
Series B
CPIAUCSL
Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items in U.S. City Average
FRED · 949 raw → 949 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
1
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
2.4147
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-7.9167
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 10 hours ago · ID: fred-cpalcy01cam661n-vs-fred-cpiaucsl-daily-20260406-3k3yj7