CorrlensCorrlens
Correlate

Correlation Analysis

Consumer Price Index: All Items: City: Total for Canada vs Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items in U.S. City Average

CPALCY01CAM661N vs CPIAUCSL

+0.995

Very strong positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

Jan 1, 1961 — Nov 1, 2023Daily755 observationsFREDFRED

AI Analysis

The exceptionally high correlation between Series A (Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items in Canada) and Series B (U.S. Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers) indicates that price movements in Canada closely mirror those in the U.S. over the analyzed period. This strong relationship suggests that trends in inflationary pressures are likely to affect both economies similarly, making it crucial for investors and policymakers to consider U.S. price dynamics when assessing Canadian inflation. The timing offset, showing that the two series move in sync, reinforces the idea that economic conditions influencing prices are likely to impact both countries simultaneously, although one should remain aware of potential lag effects and local economic factors that could influence the correlation in specific instances.

Timing Offset

in sync

CPALCY01CAM661N and CPIAUCSL tend to move at the same time.

-6-5-4-3-2-10+1+2+3+4+5+6

Correlation at each lag offset (periods). Peak marked with dot.

Peak correlation at offset: +0.995 (13 lags scanned)

R-Squared

99.0%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

97.1%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

755

Deep shared window — 755 usable pairs.

Time Series

Rebased to 100

Green: CPALCY01CAM661NGray: CPIAUCSL36 points

Scatter

XY Regression

4.420406080100120135.27.650100150200250300330.4Consumer Price Index: All Items: City: Total for CanadaConsumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items in U.S. City AverageData pointsFit (r = -0.995)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

755 paired observations survived the daily window.

Raw input

755

949

Normalized

755

949

Prepared

755

949

Aligned

755

755

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

194

A: 0 / B: 194

Series A

CPALCY01CAM661N

Consumer Price Index: All Items: City: Total for Canada

FRED · 755 raw → 755 prepared

Series B

CPIAUCSL

Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items in U.S. City Average

FRED · 949 raw → 949 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

1

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

2.4147

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

-7.9167

Linear regression intercept.

Saved 10 hours ago · ID: fred-cpalcy01cam661n-vs-fred-cpiaucsl-daily-20260406-3k3yj7